Super voters say no to legalization of pot
LANSING, Mich. – In a recent survey conducted by Marketing Resource Group (MRG), 46 percent of likely voters said they support the legalization of marijuana for recreational use for adults 21 years and older. Forty-six percent say they would vote no on legalization. Support for legalization is strongest among younger voters and those most likely to identify themselves as Democrats.
However, individuals most likely to vote in 2016 oppose legalization 52 percent to 42 percent. Opposition to legalizing recreational use for adults is strongest with self identified Republicans, those over the age of 65, and super voters – those who say they vote in all elections and will definitely vote in 2016.
“The effort to legalize marijuana is likely to go up in smoke if it is on the ballot in 2016 unless there is a significantly high turnout of young voters,” said Dave Doyle, executive vice president of MRG. “The older you are, the more likely you are to vote and those who came of age during the 50’s and 60’s are strongly opposed to legalization. Legalization is likely coming but probably not in this cycle.”
How Often Do You Vote
Geographically, the strongest support came from the City of Detroit with 75 percent in support and only 16 percent opposed. West Michigan and the Upper Peninsula were the strongest areas of opposition with 56 percent opposed in West Michigan and 53 percent in the U.P.
The actual wording of the question is listed below:
Do you favor or oppose the legalization of marijuana for recreational use for adults 21 and older? [IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, ASK:] Would that be strongly (support/oppose) or just somewhat (support/oppose)?
Strongly Support: 31%
Somewhat Support: 15%
Neither (VOLUNTEERED): 6%
Somewhat Oppose: 7%
Strongly Oppose: 39%
Don’t Know: 2%
TOTAL SUPPORT: 46%
TOTAL OPPOSE: 46%
MRG Michigan Poll Spring 2015
The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters was conducted by live interview September 9-14, 2015. The sample was randomly drawn from a listed sample of all registered voters with a history of voting and stratified by city and township to reflect voter turnout. In addition, quotas for gender and cell phone interviews were met within each geographic area, and extra efforts were made to reach African Americans. Thirty percent of the interviews were conducted with cell phone only or cell phone dominate households.
A sample of 600 likely voters in Michigan yields a sampling margin of error of ±4 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. The sampling margin of error for subgroups may be higher depending on the size of the subgroup.
About Marketing Resource Group, Inc.
Lansing, Michigan-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc. (www.mrgmi.com) is an award-winning PR firm representing corporate, association, nonprofit, and private clients with interests in Michigan. MRG offers expertise in public affairs, communications, political campaign management, and public opinion survey research. For more than thirty years, MRG has conducted its bi-annual omnibus Michigan Poll™, tracking the pulse of Michigan voters on key statewide public policy and political issues. MRG is the only Michigan public opinion survey research firm that maintains nearly 30 years of trend analyses of voter attitudes related to state and national leaders, political parties, and the political and economic climate in Michigan.