Stabenow, Benson, and Nessel continue to lead in the polls

LANSING, Mich. – Two weeks out of the general election and Democrat candidates for the United States Senate, Secretary of State, and Attorney General continue lead in the polls. In the 8+ Democrat on self-reported party identification statewide poll of 600 likely voters, the largest spread was found in the U.S. Senate race where Democrat incumbent Debbie Stabenow holds a commanding lead of 16 percent (53 percent to 37 percent) to Republican rival John James. A total of five percent remain undecided.

In the Secretary of State race, voters favored Democrat Jocelyn Benson by ten points with Benson receiving 41 percent compared to her republican opponent Mary Treder Lang at 33 percent. Libertarian candidate Gregory Scott received three percent of the vote with 17 percent remaining undecided in the race.

Democrat candidate Dana Nessel leads the Republican candidate Tom Leonard 39 percent to 34 percent in the race for Attorney General. Libertarian candidate, Lisa Gioia received four percent of the vote with another six percent saying they plan to vote for someone. Nearly 16 percent of those surveyed have yet to decide.

“It’s clear Democrats are engaged and passionate about their candidates,” said Tom Shields, President of MRG. “Two weeks can be an eternity in politics, but in this environment, Republicans have their work cut out for them. It will be critical for Republicans to win with the independent voters, along with a solid get out the vote effort if they plan to take any of those seats.” 

The results and the wording of the questions asked by MRG follow.

 

U.S. Senate: General Election Vote

Q: If the election for U.S. Senate was held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] (John James the Republican), (Debbie Stabenow the Democrat) or for someone else? [IF DON’T KNOW, ASK:] Well, are you leaning toward [ROTATE] (John James), (Debbie Stabenow), or so by Geo Political Region  

  City of Detroit Balance of Wayne Oakland Macomb Balance of Detroit SMSA Mid-MI West MI Tri-cities/ Thumb Northern Lower MI + UP
John James 6% 31% 37% 35% 41% 42% 39% 44% 40%
Debbie Stabenow 84% 61%

 

56% 47% 51% 45% 51% 40% 52%
Someone else 6% 6% 4% 6% 3% 6% 5% 10% 5%
Undecided/ Don’t Know 3% 1% 3% 12% 5% 7% 4% 5% 2%

 

Secretary of State: General Election Vote

Q: If the election for Secretary of State was held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] (Mary Treder Lang the Republican), (Jocelyn Benson the Democrat), (Gregory Scott the Libertarian) or for someone else? [IF DON’T KNOW, ASK:] Well, are you leaning toward [ROTATE] (Mary Treder Lang), (Jocelyn Benson), (Gregory Scott) or so by Geo Political Region  

  City of Detroit Balance of Wayne Oakland Macomb Balance of Detroit SMSA Mid-MI West MI Tri-cities/ Thumb Northern Lower MI + UP
Mary Treder Lang 6% 25% 31% 29% 36% 39% 37% 41% 40%
Jocelyn Benson 81% 41% 51% 41% 32% 39% 39% 33% 34%
Gregory Scott 3% 7% 1% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 5%
Someone Else 3% 7% 5% 6% 3% 1% 5% 3% 8%
Undecided/ Don’t Know 6% 20% 13% 22% 28% 16% 15% 21% 12%

 

Attorney General: General Election Vote

Q: If the election for Attorney General was held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] (Tom Leonard the Republican), (Dana Nessel the Democrat), (Lisa Lane Gioia the Libertarian) or for someone else? [IF DON’T KNOW, ASK:] Well, are you leaning toward [ROTATE] (Tom Leonard), (Dana Nessel), (Lisa Lane Gioia) or so by Geo Political Region

  City of Detroit Balance of Wayne Oakland Macomb Balance of Detroit SMSA Mid-MI West MI Tri-cities/ Thumb Northern Lower MI + UP
Tom Leonard 6% 24% 34% 31% 34% 42% 39% 39% 42%
Dana Nessel 75% 41% 46% 33% 32% 38% 37% 27% 38%
Lisa Lane Gioia 9% 10% 4% 6% 2% 1% 3% 4% 0%
Someone else 6% 7% 5% 6% 3% 4% 6% 12% 8%
Undecided/ Don’t Know 3% 18% 11% 24% 29% 15% 12% 19% 11%

 

MRG Michigan Poll® Fall 2018

None of the questions released in this press advisory where paid for or sponsored by outside third parties. The data belongs to MRG and is being released to the public. 

The 8+ Dem survey of 600 likely Michigan voters was conducted by live interview October 14 – October 18, 2018. The sample was randomly drawn from a listed sample of all registered voters with a history of voting and stratified by city and township to reflect voter turnout. Thirty percent of the sample was conducted with cell phone users. In addition, quotas for gender and cell phone interviews were met within each geographic area, and extra efforts were made to reach African Americans.

A sample of 600 likely voters in Michigan yields a sampling margin of error of ±4 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. The sampling margin of error for subgroups may be higher depending on the size of the subgroup.

About Marketing Resource Group, Inc.

Lansing, Michigan-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc. (www.mrgmi.com) is an award-winning PR firm representing corporate, association, nonprofit, and private clients with interests in Michigan. MRG offers expertise in public affairs, communications, political campaign management, and public opinion survey research. For more than thirty years, MRG has conducted its bi-annual omnibus Michigan Poll®, tracking the pulse of Michigan voters on key statewide public policy and political issues. MRG is the only Michigan public opinion survey research firm that maintains nearly 30 years of trend analyses of voter attitudes related to state and national leaders, political parties, and the political and economic climate in Michigan. If any member of the media is interested in our trend data, please contact Tom Shields.

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