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MRG Michigan Poll®: Michigan Voters are Split on Trump Impeachment Inquiry

byChelsea Yi inUncategorized posted16 October, 2019
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Michigan support for impeachment inquiry significantly less than national polls

LANSING, Mich. – Michigan voters are split on the Congressional impeachment inquiry of President Donald J. Trump, according to a poll conducted last week by Marketing Resource Group, LLC.

Results released today show that 49 percent support the impeachment inquiry, compared to 45 percent that oppose.  The intensity of both sides was also split as 38 percent of those surveyed strongly support the impeachment inquiry process compared to the 39 percent that strongly oppose.

“President Trump has taken a beating by his opponents over the past several weeks related to this impeachment inquiry,” said Jenell Leonard, owner of MRG, LLC. “The fact that overall support for the impeachment inquiry is below the 50 percent threshold, and way below other national polling numbers on the same issue, confirms Michigan will continue to be in play next year.”

A recent CBS News national poll showed 55 percent of Americans supporting the “Democrat Congressional impeachment inquiry” and 45 percent opposing.

Additional polling results released by MRG earlier this week showed the President’s job approval rating closely mirroring that of the impeachment inquiry with 44 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving of his job performance.

“The President’s base is holding strong during this impeachment process while his opposition seems to be energized,’ said Tom Shields, Senior Advisor at MRG. “President Trump is going to have a tough time winning Michigan in 2020 and the Democrats are going to have a tough time defeating him.”

Republicans are at opposite ends on impeachment with 87 percent of Democrats supporting and 90 percent of Republicans opposing. Geographically, the strongest support came from voters in the city of Detroit and the Tri-Cities/Thumb area of the state. Voters in Mid-Michigan and Northern Michigan were the strongest opponents.

The actual wording of the Trump Impeachment Inquiry question is below:

Congressional Democrats have recently started an impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trump. Do you support or oppose the impeachment inquiry?

                                                                                                           Percent

            Strongly Support                                                                    38.0 %

            Somewhat Support                                                                 10.5 %

            Neither Support / Oppose                                                        4.2 %

            Somewhat Oppose                                                                   6.0 %

            Strongly Oppose                                                                    39.2 %

            Don’t Know                                                                              2.2 %

            Refused                                                                                     0.0 %

            Total Support Impeachment inquiry                                  48.5%

            Total Oppose impeachment inquiry                                   45.2%

Party Identification

  Democrat Independent Republican
Strongly Support 73% 32% 4%
Somewhat Support 14% 18% 2%
Total Support 87% 50% 6%
Somewhat Oppose 5% 8% 7%
Strongly Oppose 4% 30% 83%
Total Oppose 9% 38% 90%

Age

  18-34 35-44 45-64 65+
Strongly Support 39% 40% 36% 41%
Somewhat Support 10% 8% 13% 9%
Total Support 49% 48% 49% 50%
Somewhat Oppose 5% 8% 5% 6%
Strongly Oppose 42% 34% 40% 39%
Total Oppose 47% 42% 45% 45%

Geographic Location

  City of Detroit Balance of Wayne County Oakland County Macomb County Balance of Detroit SMSA Mid-Michigan West Michigan Tri-Cities/ Thumb North Lower Michigan Upper Peninsula
Strongly Support 66% 40% 36% 40% 32.% 24% 40% 42% 31% 39%
SW Support 26% 11% 15% 6% 11% 9% 9% 13% 0% 6%
Total Support 92% 51% 51% 46% 43% 33% 49% 55% 31% 45%
SW Oppose 0% 8% 4% 10% 5% 9% 6% 2% 11% 6%
Strongly Oppose 0% 31% 40% 40% 45% 55% 39% 36% 51% 39%
Total Oppose 0% 40% 44% 50% 50% 64% 45% 38% 62% 45%

If anyone in the media would like additional numbers or cross tabs, please do not hesitate to contact us.

MRG Michigan Poll® Fall 2019

The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters was conducted by live interview October 7-10, 2019. The sample was randomly drawn from a listed sample of all registered voters with a history of voting and stratified by city and township to reflect voter turnout. 30% of the sample was conducted with cell phone users. In addition, quotas for gender and cell phone interviews were met within each geographic area, and extra efforts were made to reach African Americans. Thirty percent of the interviews were conducted with cell phone only or cell phone dominant

households.

A sample of 600 likely voters in Michigan yields a sampling margin of error of ±4 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. The sampling margin of error for subgroups may be higher depending on the size of the subgroup.

About Marketing Resource Group

Lansing, Michigan-based Marketing Resource Group (www.mrgmi.com) is an award-winning PR firm representing corporate, association, nonprofit, and private clients with interests in Michigan. MRG offers expertise in public affairs, communications, political campaign management, and public opinion survey research. For more than thirty years, MRG has conducted its bi-annual omnibus Michigan Poll®, tracking the pulse of Michigan voters on key statewide public policy and political issues. MRG is the only Michigan public opinion survey research firm that maintains nearly 30 years of trend analyses of voter attitudes related to state and national leaders, political parties, and the political and economic climate in Michigan.

Follow MRG on Twitter @mrgmichigan and on Facebook.

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