State of the State of Public Opinion Press Release October 2023

Jenell Leonard

President’s Job Approval Rating Continues to Polarize

Cost of living dominates voters' minds

LANSING, Mich. – Half of Michigan voters believe the state is headed in the wrong direction, according to a recent MRG-commissioned Michigan Poll®. The survey, conducted October 2-8, shows 50% believe the state is on the wrong track compared to the 40% who believe the state is headed in the right direction. These numbers are consistent with the results of the Spring Michigan Poll®.

“Voters’ perception of the state’s progress and direction has remained stagnant over the past six months,” said Jenell Leonard, owner of MRG, LLC. “Since taking full control in Lansing, Democrats have been delivering on party platform issues, but it doesn’t seem to be moving the needle for or against them when it comes to appealing to voters.”

 

The Direction of the Country Continues to Slide Downward

The direction of the country has continued to spiral downward for over a year with 71% believing the country is on the wrong track and just 17% believing the country is headed in the right direction.

Not a single geographic, political or demographic group in Michigan believes the country is headed in the right direction, including only 39% of Democrats sharing that belief.

Biden’s Job Approval Continues to Dip

President Biden’s job approval ratings continue to decline with the most recent poll showing that 58% of Michigan voters disapprove of his performance, with only 31% approving. 

Liberal, Democrat and Detroit voters are the only demographic and geographic groups that give the President a positive approval rating. But, only 55% of African Americans give the president a positive job approval while 29% disapprove. All other political, demographic and geographic groups give the President a negative job approval rating. Only 19% of the all-important Independent voters approve of the job the President is doing while 61% disapprove. Only 38% of the union voters approve of the job he is doing while 53% disapprove.


President’s Personal Approval Dips Again

The president’s personal approval ratings have also declined with only 30% sharing a positive feeling toward the president and 56% sharing a negative feeling toward him. These numbers have polarized since the Spring poll when 33% shared a positive feeling toward the president and 53% had a negative feeling.

 

“The President has a long way to go to convince the people of Michigan that Bidenomics is working for them,” said Tom Shields, MRG’s Senior Advisor. “His base is soft and the opposition seems to be united in their belief that the President can’t do the job. That’s not a good combination for the President as the country enters the 2024 election cycle.”

 

Whitmer Continues to Weather the Storm

Governor Whitmer’s job approval received the same amount of support since the spring with 53% of voters approving of her job performance, but those who disapprove of her job performance declined to 31%. In the spring, 39% disapproved of her job performance.

The Governor received her highest job approvals from Detroit Metropolitan area voters, especially those in Detroit, Wayne County, Oakland County and the Tri-County area, as well. She also received positive job approval ratings from Democrats, liberals, younger voters, union members, African Americans and women voters. Her highest negative job approval ratings came from Republican and conservative voters and those living in the Traverse City media market. 

 

Whitmer’s Personal Ratings

The voters’ personal feelings towards the governor have remained statistically the same over the past six months with 48% sharing a positive feeling and 37% sharing a negative feeling. In March, the numbers showed 47% positive and 39% negative.  

 

"The governor continues to hit her stride in resonating with Michigan voters,” said Leonard. “Any Democrat on the ’24 ballot is sure to run from Biden and his abysmal ratings and embrace Whitmer in an effort to win their election.”

 

Legislative Approval

Adding a new topic of approval to the Michigan Poll®, Michigan voters give the Democrat-controlled legislature an approval of 37% with 30% disapproving of their job performance.

 

Top Issues

The cost of living is at the top of voters’ minds with 35% thinking about gas prices, inflation, and overall higher costs. Thirty-two percent are concerned about jobs and the economy, and 20% share concern over politicians and government.

 

“Voters haven’t felt any relief at the pump or at the grocery stores, and they share an increasing concern in politicians and the government,” said Shields. “Candidates will not only need to message around the top issues but also re-earn the basic trust of the voter. This may not be a good year to be an incumbent.”


The Questions and Results

The results and the wording of the questions asked by MRG follow.


Q. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel

things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?



Q. And, thinking about things in Michigan . . . do you feel things in the State of Michigan are generally

going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?



Q. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job President Biden is doing as president?

[IF APPROVE / DISAPPROVE, ASK:] Would that be strongly (approve / disapprove)

or just somewhat (approve / disapprove)?



Q. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Governor Whitmer is doing as Governor? [IF APPROVE / DISAPPROVE, ASK:] Would that be strongly (approve / disapprove) or just somewhat (approve / disapprove)?



Q. Now, I'm going to read you the names of some people in the news, and I'd like you to rate your feelings

toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

If you don't know the name, please just say so.



Q. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job the Michigan Legislature is doing?




Q. What are the most important issues facing the state of Michigan at this time? That is, the one or two you personally are most worried about? (please choose category that is closest to the answer given and record the verbatim response). Note: individual numbers are rounded with ranking placements reflecting the total rounded number.




MRG Michigan Poll® Fall 2023

The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters was conducted by live interview October 2-8, 2023 with a +1 GOP sample. The sample was randomly drawn from a listed sample of all registered voters with a history of voting and stratified by city and township to reflect voter turnout. Quotas for gender and cell phone interviews were met within each geographic area, and extra efforts were made to reach African Americans. Seventy-five percent of the interviews were conducted with cell phone only or cell phone dominant households. Some columns may not add up to 100% because of rounding. Individual rounding may impact final totals. This survey yields a sampling margin of error of ±4 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. The sampling margin of error for subgroups may be higher depending on the size of the subgroup.

 

About Marketing Resource Group

Lansing, Michigan-based Marketing Resource Group is an award-winning PR firm  representing corporate, association, nonprofit, and private clients with interests in Michigan. MRG offers expertise in public affairs, communications, political campaign management, and public opinion survey research. For more than thirty years, MRG has conducted its bi-annual omnibus Michigan Poll®, tracking the pulse of Michigan voters on key statewide public policy and political issues. MRG is the only Michigan public opinion survey research firm that maintains nearly 40 years of trend analyses of voter attitudes related to state and national leaders, political parties, and the political and economic climate in Michigan. Follow MRG on Twitter and on Facebook.

Download Press Release
24 Apr, 2024
MRG Michigan Poll®: Poll shows that, while voters want access to abortion, the overwhelming majority favor a regulated system that protects the health of the patient, minors, parents and taxpayers
By Only 5% of voters say they will definitely buy an EV in next 5 years 23 Apr, 2024
MRG Michigan Poll®: Michigan is Not Buying into the Electric Vehicle Push LANSING, Mich. – Despite a push by the auto industry and rebates from federal and state and federal governments, electric vehicles have yet to win the hearts and minds of voters across the state. Whether it’s price, technology woes, or a mix of the two, results from MRG’s Michigan Poll® Spring 2024 show that only 5% of Michigan voters plan to purchase an electric vehicle (EV) in the next 5 years. Another 15% of voters said they are considering it. “It appears that government and the auto industry are out of sync with Michigan consumers,” said Tom Shields, Senior Advisor, MRG LLC. “The state has a long road ahead to reach Governor Whitmer’s goal of 2 million electric vehicles on the roads by 2030.” Hybrids 3X more popular than EVs Only 1% of voters reported currently owning an EV with another 6% owning a hybrid vehicle and 1% saying they own both. There appears to be a direct correlation to income as 54% are from households earning over $100,000 per year. Of the 8% of Michigan voters that own either vehicle, 41% are Democrats, 33% are Republicans, and 22% are Independents. 63% of electric or hybrid vehicle owners were male. Those most likely to own an EV or hybrid vehicle lived in the Mid-Michigan area (19%). A total of 92% of Michigan voters said that they did not own an electric vehicle nor a hybrid. Partisanship, age, and location could play a role in future EV purchases Auto dealers may want to use a voter list to target future EV buyers as only 1% of Republicans say they will definitely be purchasing an EV in the next 5 years. Another 4% said they would consider it. In contrast, 24% of Democrats said they would consider buying an EV in the next 5 years, but only 5% of Democrats said they would definitely be buying one. Oakland County voters (26%) were the most likely to consider an EV purchase in the next 5 years and voters in the UP (10%), Northern Michigan (9%) and the Bay City/Flint Area (4%) were the least likely. Twenty-three percent of 18-24 year olds said they were planning to purchase an electric vehicle over the next five years - the highest result from the age demographic. “Michigan has proven to be a tough environment for electric vehicle purchases,” said Jenell Leonard, owner of MRG, LLC. “There are a multitude of factors that influence their less-than-popular reputation, and we are seeing politics play a huge role in the perception of electric vehicles, their evolving technology, and the economy surrounding them.” The Questions and Results Click below to download the full press release and view results.
By Michigan Voters give the President Negative Ratings on Immigration, Economy, and the Handling of the Gaza Conflict 18 Apr, 2024
MRG Michigan Poll®: President Biden Receives Low Approvals on National Issues
By Trump Leads Biden by 6% in Head to Head Matchup 17 Apr, 2024
Michigan Poll: Presidential Election
By Inflation, economy, and political adversity on voters' minds 15 Apr, 2024
State of the State of Public Opinion
By Securing the border ranks as voters’ top priority for next U.S. Senator 25 Feb, 2024
Rogers Shows Early Strength in Race for U.S. Senate
pop culture pr taylor swift travis kelce wedding rumors tactics
By Chelsea Yi 15 Dec, 2023
The power of a statement: Taylor Swift vs. Rumors
abortion planned parenthood michigan poll regulations majority pro-life pro-choice
16 Oct, 2023
LANSING, Mich. – A clear majority of voters in the state, including the majority of those who voted for Proposal 3 last November, support retaining long-standing regulations on abortions that are currently threatened by the Reproductive Health Act. The results come as part of the MRG, LLC, Michigan Poll® conducted October 2-8 from 600 Michigan registered voters and has a margin of error or plus/minus 4%. A series of questions commissioned by the Michigan Catholic Conference and Right to Life of Michigan were asked about the passage of Proposal 3 in November of 2022 and state regulations related to the issue. 72% of all voters support the 24-hour waiting period to allow for informed consent According to the poll results, 72% of all voters support the 24-hour waiting period to allow for informed consent that is now in place. Only 20% opposed the regulation. Every demographic and political group supported the 24-hour waiting period regulation including: 70% of women, 68% of young voters (18-34), 86% of Independents, 63% of Democrats, 80% of African Americans, 65% of those who approve of the job the Governor is doing and 67% of those voting for Proposal 3. 95% of the voters support abortion facilities to be licensed and inspected by the state for health and safety reasons There was virtually no opposition for the state to continue regulating, licensing, and inspecting abortion clinics. 95% of voters support continuing the regulation while only 2% opposed. Support was 96% among Proposal 3 voters. 70% of all voters support parental consent Seventy percent of all voters support the regulation that says a minor child must have parental consent to have an abortion. Only 20% of all voters opposed parental consent regulations. Support for parental consent included: 64% of all women, 68% of young voters (18-34), 70% of independents and 56% of Democratic voters, 75% of African Americans, 55% of the voters who think the governor is doing a good job and 67% of those who supported Proposal 3. 59% of Michigan voters do not believe their tax dollars should be used to pay for abortions in Michigan There was strong opposition from voters to have Michigan taxpayers paying for the cost of abortions. 59% opposed taxpayer funding, 24% supported it and 15% volunteered that they could support it in some cases. Taxpayer funding was opposed by: 54% of all women and 65% of all men, 66% of seniors, 64% of Independent voters, 50% of African Americans and 55% of voters from the city of Detroit. Voters still oppose partial birth abortions The poll showed that 52% of all voters support keeping the regulations in place banning partial birth abortions while 33% support allowing the procedure. Female voters support keeping the regulation by 52% - 32%. African American voters support the regulation by 52% - 34%. Independent voters support the regulation by 48% to 32% and women support keeping the ban on partial birth abortions by 52% - 32% who oppose it. Supporters of Proposal 3 in 2022 were not voting for abortion on demand Only 45% of those who said they voted for Proposal 3 in 2022 said they were voting for a proposal to allow for unlimited abortions at any time without limitations. Forty-one percent said they voted for Proposal 3 to keep abortion legal after Roe v Wade was struck down, with the understanding that some regulations would remain in place. According to the poll, only 48% of women, 49% of young voters (18-34), 31% of independent voters and 48% of those voters who support the job the Governor is doing supported Proposal 3 because they were voting for abortions without regulations.
chinese communist party michigan poll MRG voter opinions
By Jenell Leonard 12 Oct, 2023
LANSING, Mich . – Voters in Michigan are overwhelmingly opposed to the state contributing funds to two battery plants in Michigan that are being built by American companies in partnership with companies affiliated with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). By a staggering 72% - 11% margin, Michigan voters do not want their tax dollars going to these projects. As part of the Michigan Poll®, this MRG-commissioned question was surveyed October 2-8 from 600 Michigan registered voters and has a margin or error of plus/minus 4%. Voters were asked if the state of Michigan should be funding projects that have partnered with American companies affiliated or controlled by the CCP. “Whether voters feel uncomfortable with companies affiliated with the CCP or they just believe there are better uses for their tax dollars, they clearly oppose the state contributing funds to these two battery plants,” said Jenell Leonard, Owner of MRG, LLC. “As all Michiganders are tightening their budgets and prioritizing personal spending, it seems they want the government to do the same and protect their tax dollars from connections with the CCP.” Between site preparations and abatements, the state of Michigan has contributed nearly two billion dollars to the construction costs of two new battery plants to be built in Michigan – one in Big Rapids and one in Marshall. In March of this year, MRG released polling data showing voters opposed the Marshall battery plant by a 2:1 margin, (30% support and 61% opposed). By adding the information about the CCP, opposition has grown to better than 11:1. “Giving hard-earned tax dollars to entities with CCP connections could be a contributing factor as to why voters have a growing concern and mistrust of government and politicians,” said Tom Shields, Senior Advisor to MRG, LLC. “Michigan voters didn’t support the amount of dollars going to the Marshall plant to begin with, despite their promise of jobs. Adding information about the company’s ties to the Chinese Communist Party just increases and hardens the opposition.” The poll showed overwhelming opposition to the state funding facilities with connections to the CCP as every demographic, political groups and geographical region of the state opposed. Sixty-six percent of the voters in West Michigan and 90% of the voters in Northern Michigan opposed the project funding even though the two battery plants are located in their areas. Union members opposed the project funding by a 76% - 7% margin even though they could benefit from the jobs created. Also opposed were some of the Governor’s stronger supporters, including Females (72% oppose), African Americans (68% oppose), and those who support the job the Governor is doing (59% oppose).
Show More
Share by: